Ball-Striking & Patience

Consistently high finishes at the US Open tend to come from players who excel tee-to-green and keep mistakes to a minimum.

• Betting Angle: Focus on golfers with strong strokes gained off-the-tee and approach metrics, plus a proven ability to handle pressure on tougher layouts.

 

Scoring at a Premium

Historically, US Open setups favour pars over birdies, with winning totals often hovering around par or just under.

• Betting Angle: Recent form still matters, but look particularly for players who thrive in low-scoring environments and are adept at scrambling when they do miss greens.

 

Favourites vs. Mid-Tier

Over the past seven years, several winners were amongst the top 10 in the betting market, reflecting the championship’s exacting demands. However, a few came from just outside that upper tier.

• Historical Data: About half of the 2018–2024 champions were among the leading favourites, while others were priced in the 25/1 to 40/1 range.

• Betting Angle: Balance your bets between one or two established stars who have excelled in tough conditions and a couple of mid-priced contenders with strong recent form and a track record in majors.

 

Potential for Upsets?

True longshots rarely lift the trophy, though a few have made surprise runs into the top 5 or 10.

• Betting Angle: If you’re eyeing a longshot, consider them in finishing-position or head-to-head markets rather than an outright win. Look for at least one standout skill—such as exceptional driving accuracy—that suits the US Open’s stringent demands.

 

Weekend Grit

Many US Open winners emerge from a crowded leaderboard by holding steady while others falter under pressure.

• Betting Angle: For in-play punters, keep tabs on players who maintain consistent ball-striking through the first two days. A single strong putting day in difficult conditions can vault them to the top.

 

Numbers to Note

• Typical Winning Score: Often close to level par, occasionally dipping into single digits under par if conditions are more forgiving.

• Top-10 Finishers’ Odds: Roughly half come from the top 20 in the betting market; the rest are a blend of mid-tier and a handful of longer-odds surprises.

• Champions’ Pre-Tournament Odds: Around half the winners (2018–2024) were among the top 10 favourites, with the remainder typically in that 25/1–40/1 bracket.

 

Conclusion

The US Open’s reputation for difficult conditions and punishing rough makes it a true test of skill, patience, and mental fortitude. Look for players with strong all-round ball-striking, proven resilience, and decent form in high-stakes events. Combine one or two leading favourites with a couple of mid-range each-way punts—and if you must back a longshot, target them in the finishing-position markets for the best chance of success.

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Check US Open leaderboards and betting odds for 2018-2024 here